Connect with us


What would an independent Catalonia look like?

Aden Hayes examines what might happen if the Catalan election goes the way of the separatists and they reach their dream of breaking away from Spain and declaring an independent nation.

Catalans of all stripes go to the polls today to vote in a new parliament, following the imposition of direct rule from Madrid, and the scrapping of a unilateral declaration of independence for Catalonia by members of the former parliament.

LIVE: Catalans vote in decisive election

The latest voter surveys – five were published last week – show clearly that no party can achieve a majority, and all indicate a very close race between the three parties that have promised independence, and the three that favor continued unity with the rest of Spain.

READ MORE: Latest polls show separatists could lose absolute majority in vote

In the middle lies the anti-capitalist / hard left coalition that holds power in Barcelona, and could be the kingmaker. This group has made equivocal pronouncements about..



Aden Hayes examines what might happen if the Catalan election goes the way of the separatists and they reach their dream of breaking away from Spain and declaring an independent nation.

Catalans of all stripes go to the polls today to vote in a new parliament, following the imposition of direct rule from Madrid, and the scrapping of a unilateral declaration of independence for Catalonia by members of the former parliament.

LIVE: Catalans vote in decisive election

The latest voter surveys – five were published last week – show clearly that no party can achieve a majority, and all indicate a very close race between the three parties that have promised independence, and the three that favor continued unity with the rest of Spain.

READ MORE: Latest polls show separatists could lose absolute majority in vote

In the middle lies the anti-capitalist / hard left coalition that holds power in Barcelona, and could be the kingmaker. This group has made equivocal pronouncements about independence, one of the latest being “yes we support independence, but not now.” What that means to voters is anyone’s guess.

The pro-independence parties say that if, together, they gain a majority and can form a government, they will immediately declare independence, contravening the Spanish Constitution, which declares the nation to be “indissoluble.” This would result in a political and constitutional crisis of a kind unseen since Spain’s return to democracy in 1978.

There would be a great deal of negotiation and threats back and forth between Barcelona and Madrid, but if Catalonia – seven million people and the fourth richest region of Spain by per capita GDP –were to be severed from the rest of the country, what would that Independent Catalan Republic look like?

The region already has many of its own political, social, economic and even diplomatic institutions, which it would undoubtedly keep and strengthen. Catalonia currently has:

  • Its own parliament – roughly equivalent to a state legislature in the US;
  • Its own police force, with most members hand-picked to ensure a pro-independence stance and their chiefs selected by pro-independence politicians;
  • Its own intelligence service – which has spied and compiled dossiers on Spanish politicians and Catalan pro-unity politicos;
  • Its own fiscal policy and budgeting apparatus;
  • Its own education system, operating almost entirely in the Catalan language and which teaches Catalan, rather than Spanish, history;
  • Its own diplomatic representation abroad, with 16 “embassies” set up as permanent trade missions but which have functioned as part of the pro-independence propaganda machine;
  • Its own television and radio – again, broadcasting a heavily pro-independence message which in many cases means anti-Spain.

What else would an independent Catalonia seek?

Several Catalan leaders — including the former president of the Catalan Parliament, Carles Puigdemont — have advocated leaving the European Union as well as the European currency, the Euro. Puigdemont has derided the EU as “a club of obsolete, decadent countries, where minorities rule and which are linked to increasingly debatable economic interests.”

ANALYSIS Even if separatist parties win the Catalan election, international law doesn't provide a right to independence

The first phase of this departure would be easy – EU leaders including Jean-Claude Junker, the President of the European Commission and Donald Tusk, the President of the European Council, have both said that if Catalonia were to become independent, it would automatically be out of the European Union. Moreover, if Catalans changed their minds, the newly independent nation-state would have to apply for admission – a process that takes years, not months –and a single negative vote from a member (Spain?) would be enough to derail the process.

If Catalonia is not part of the EU, it cannot be a member of the Euro Group and would not enjoy the backing of the European Central Bank. But, this does not mean that Catalonia could not continue to use the Euro as its currency, as others outside the EU – Montenegro, Andorra, Kosovo, others – are doing.

Following the model of the United Kingdom’s exit from the EU, there would likely be hard borders set up between Catalonia and Spain, Catalonia and France, and possibly between Catalonia and Andorra, adding greatly to the cost of shipping goods, increasing the possibilities of tariffs, etc. There would no longer be visa- and passport-free travel for Catalan citizens crossing to other European countries.

And what would happen to Catalonia’s famed tourism industry? The region is Spain’s #1 tourism destination, with more than 18 million visitors a year. If Europeans can no longer arrive without border controls and a passport, will they go elsewhere?

Moreover, the economy of an independent Catalonia will almost certainly suffer in another way: Driven by the possibility of Catalexit, more than 2000 companies – including all the region’s largest banks and many industrial firms – have moved their fiscal headquarters (read: tax obligations) out of Catalonia to other parts of Spain. The full effects of this upheaval have yet to be felt, but they do not bode well for the standard of living of some of Iberia’s richest citizens.

And it is not just Spanish firms that are worried about the uncertainty of independence. This week the Spanish Ministry of the Economy announced that foreign direct investment in Catalonia had fallen 75% in the third quarter, compared to the same period one year earlier. Very few companies are intrepid enough to invest where future laws and conditions governing their operations are unknown.

READ ALSO: Wht next for Catalonia?

As we are seeing with Brexit, there would clearly be many other questions to clear up if Catalonia were to split from Spain: who pays the pensions of Catalan workers who have contributed to the central social security fund in Madrid? Who assumes Catalonia’s debt (at €75 billion one of the highest of any of Spain’s autonomous regions)? And, will other European countries – and countries around the world – formally recognize Catalonia as a sovereign nation?

Before any of these questions can be answered – or even asked seriously – the Catalan vote must be counted, and Madrid must react. We won’t have to wait long.

Original Article

The post What would an independent Catalonia look like? appeared first on News Wire Now.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


Catalan regional election to be held on February 14, court confirms




Convicted leaders of the 2017 secession attempt in Catalonia who are serving time in regional prisons walked out on Friday after the Catalan government granted them a more open regime. Approval of the tercer grado, which allows prisoners to spend only nights in prison, coincided with the start of an election campaign in Spain’s northeastern region.

Also on Friday, the High Court of Catalonia (TSJC) confirmed that an upcoming regional election will take place on February 14, not on May 30, ending weeks of uncertainty over the date of the polls.

The Catalan government had sought to postpone the original date on the grounds that the coronavirus crisis would make it difficult for many people to vote while staying safe. Critics said the date change was politically motivated and unlawful.

The TSJC court had provisionally upheld an appeal against the change, and on Friday it confirmed this decision, which could still be challenged before the Supreme Court but would not alter the election date.

Released prisoners

The separatist leaders on a more flexible regime will now be able to take part in their own parties’ campaign events if they wish to.

Dolors Bassa, who was a Cabinet member at the time of the unilateral independence declaration of October 2017, was the first of the group to walk out of prison on Friday. After leaving the women’s facility of Puig de les Basses in Figueres (Girona) at around 8.45am, she urged sympathizers to go vote on February 14 “to win again.”

At 10.30am, Lledoners prison in Barcelona released Jordi Sànchez and Jordi Cuixart, leaders of two civil society groups convicted of participating in the breakaway attempt, and the former Cabinet members Oriol Junqueras, Raül Romeva, Jordi Turull, Joaquim Forn and Josep Rull. The group emerged carrying a sign calling for “amnesty.” The only member of the group to remain in prison is former Catalan parliament speaker Carme Forcadell, who is still awaiting a decision.

All nine were convicted of sedition and misuse of public funds by Spain’s Supreme Court and are serving sentences ranging from nine to 13 years. The Catalan government granted them tercer grado status once before last year, but the move was struck down by the Supreme Court in December and the group returned to prison. However, eligibility for this regime undergoes review every six months, and the regional executive, which is headed by a separatist coalition, has again granted them this status.

Prosecutors are planning to appeal the decision, but the timing of legal procedures means that the separatist leaders will be on daytime prison leave for much of the election campaign, if not all of it. While none of them are running as candidates, their presence could help energize pro-independence voters. Inversely, if they were sent back to prison it would provide fuel to the movement’s claims of political repression.

Election dates

Secessionists are also framing the legal tussle over the election date as further proof of alleged meddling in Catalonia’s political and institutional life.

In a rare agreement between separatist and conservative parties, the postponement to May had been backed by all political groups in the regional parliament except for the Catalan Socialists (PSC) – the Catalan branch of the Spanish Socialist Party (PSOE) – who had insisted on preserving the February date.

Salvador Illa, the Spanish health minister until this week, has stepped down to run for the regional premiership with the PSC, and a recent poll by the state-funded Center for Sociological Studies (CIS) research center suggested the possibility of a technical tie between the PSC and the Catalan Republican Left (ERC), one of the two partners in the Catalan government coalition.

Both ERC and its partner Together for Catalonia believe that the PSOE is behind the legal challenge to the May postponement, and that the real reason is a desire to make the most of the impact on public opinion from the news that the high-profile Illa will be the Socialist nominee to lead the region.

But a more recent poll by the Catalan government’s Center for Opinion Studies (CEO) shows ERC winning on February 14 with 34 to 35 seats in the regional parliament, followed by Together for Catalonia with 32 to 34. This would ensure the separatist bloc’s absolute majority in the 135-strong house with 51.2% of the vote.

The election will seek to bring stability to a government that’s been under an acting leader, Pere Aragonés, ever since September, when the Spanish Supreme Court upheld an 18-month ban from public office against Quim Torra in connection with violations of institutional neutrality during an earlier election campaign.

After Catalans go to the polls, Spaniards are expecting a two-year period of rest in a country that has been through four national elections, a European vote, regional and municipal polls, and two no-confidence motions in parliament since 2015.

Read from source:

Continue Reading


Madrid, Basque Country, Valencia announce new coronavirus restrictions




The relentless advance of the coronavirus in Spain is leading some regional governments to introduce even more severe restrictions on mobility. Madrid, the Basque Country and the Valencia region on Friday announced new measures that will go into effect soon.


In Madrid, the deputy public health chief Antonio Zapatero announced more perimetral lockdowns, now affecting 56 basic health zones and 25 municipalities that are home to 24% of the region’s residents but account for 30% of all coronavirus cases.

The director general of the Public Health agency, Elena Andradas, said that nine basic health zones – administrative areas that do not necessarily coincide with neighborhoods or districts – and six municipalities have a 14-day cumulative number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants above 1,000 and will be subject “to special restrictions on mobility.” The decision expands on the list of health zones and municipalities that came under mobility restrictions last week.

The new affected municipalities are Cercedilla, Navacerrada, Collado Villalba, Rivas-Vaciamadrid, Los Molinos, Quijorna, Serranillos del Valle and Colmenar de Oreja. The new affected health zones are Las Ciudades, in Getafe; as well as La Rivota, Ramón y Cajal, Doctor Trueta and Pedro Laín Entralgo, in Alcorcón.

Additionally, the overnight curfew will begin at 10pm and businesses must close by 9pm, including food and drink establishments. Authorities are also banning meetings inside homes with members of other households, while the upper limit on the number of people from different households who may gather outside the home in food or drink establishments is now four, down from six.

These measures will be adopted starting on Monday, January 25 and last at least two weeks.

Basque Country

On a day when the number of new reported cases nationwide set a record high for the second day in a row, authorities in the Basque Country said they will seal off all of the region’s 252 municipalities beginning on Monday. Social gatherings will be reduced to four people.

The 14-day cumulative number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the region was above 500 cases on Friday, twice the figure considered an extreme risk scenario (which also takes into account other variables such as pressure on hospitals). Right now over 70% of Spain’s territory is in the extreme risk category.

The Basque city of Bilbao and 50 other locations came under a perimetral lockdown in the early hours of Friday because of their high incidence rate. After the weekend, every other city, town and village in this region of 2.2 million people will be sealed off as well. Only essential trips that can be justified will be allowed across municipal lines. This is on top of the provincial and regional lockdowns that are already in effect.

The Basque health chief, Gotzone Sagardui, said the decision was a response to the worsening epidemiological figures. “This is not the time to relax, but to act with utmost anticipation on preventive action,” she said.

The curfew starting time has not been altered, despite the Basque government’s wishes to bring it forward to 8pm from the current 10pm. The move was debated on Wednesday at a meeting of central and regional health officials but did not gain support from the central government.

Food and drink establishments must close at 8pm except in locations with an incidence rate of over 500, where they must close altogether. This is currently the case in Bilbao.

The measures will be in effect for 20 days, subject to review.

Valencia region

The Valencian government is preparing an “imminent” decree to forbid members of different households from meeting inside homes. Exceptions will be made for people who need to provide care, couples who don’t live under the same roof and elderly people who live by themselves and may stay with family members.

Deputy premier Mónica Oltra made the announcement on Friday following a meeting of regional government officials. Earlier this week, Valencian authorities ordered all food and drink establishments to shut down for 14 days and told retail stores to close at 6pm as the virus continues to expand in the region at “an extraordinary rate,” in the words of regional premier Ximo Puig.

The Valencia health department has started to contact neighborhood associations to get the word out that people should self-confine due to the severity of the situation, the regional daily Diario Información reported.

Rafael Ruiz, president of Alicante’s Provincial Federation of Neighborhood Associations, told this newspaper that he received a call from the district’s healthcare center: “They are asking for people to stay at home. They are scared because the situation is getting out of hand.”

All three provinces in the region – Castellón, Valencia and Alicante – are in the extreme risk scenario. The 14-day cumulative number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants has been climbing almost vertically since the end of the Christmas period, and on Friday stood above 1,000. Some Covid-19 patients are already being transferred to field hospitals as healthcare facilities struggle to deal with a tremendous surge in infections.

A home confinement cannot be legally imposed in Spain under the current emergency state approved by parliament in late October and due to expire in May. But the string of increasingly strict restrictions imposed by regional governments is coming close to a de facto lockdown.


Read from source:

Continue Reading


Storm Filomena: Spain sees ‘exceptional’ snowfall




Storm Filomena has blanketed parts of Spain in heavy snow, with half of the country on red alert for more on Saturday.

Road, rail and air travel has been disrupted and interior minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska said the country was facing “the most intense storm in the last 50 years”.

Madrid, one of the worst affected areas, is set to see up to 20cm (eight inches) of snow in the next 24 hours.

Further south the storm caused rivers to burst their banks.

Four deaths have been reported so far as a result of Filomena. Officials said two people had been found frozen to death – one in the town of Zarzalejo, north-west of Madrid, and the other in the eastern city of Calatayud. Two people travelling in a car were swept away by floods near the southern city of Malaga.

As snow fell on Madrid on Friday evening, a number of vehicles became stranded on a motorway near the capital.

The city’s Barajas airport has closed, along with a number of roads, and all trains to and from Madrid have been cancelled.

Firefighters were called in to assist drivers who had become stuck. In some areas the military were called in to help clear roads.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez urged people to stay at home and to follow the instructions of emergency services. King Felipe and Queen Letizia took to Twitter to urge “extreme caution against the risks of accumulation of ice and snow”.

The country’s AEMET weather agency said the snowfall was “exceptional and most likely historic”.

A number of people were seen making the most of the snowy scenery, walking through Madrid’s Puerta del Sol square.

Large parks in Madrid have since been closed as a precaution, AFP news agency reports.

One man was pictured skiing along the Gran Via, the capital’s famous shopping street.

In Cañada Real, the largest shanty town in western Europe, residents were seen creating a bonfire to keep warm.

The cold weather is set to continue beyond the weekend with temperatures in Madrid predicted to hit -12C on Thursday.


Read from source:

Continue Reading


Copyright © 2020 ,