Race-by-race guide and tips for Warwick Farm on Wednesday
Selections based on a soft 5-6 track.
Race 1 – 12:50PM SHOOTING TO WIN @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
Must give 3. Rotator another chance. She was badly positioned in the run last start and the race was beyond her when she finally found room. Hit the line nicely there and this is her first look at a maiden in five starts. D-day for her but hard to go past.
Dangers: 1. Splendid Surprise is the main threat according to the market and it looks that way on paper too. He bumped into what looks a smart one on the same day as Rotators last run where he was gunned down late. Will be right on the speed and is dangerous. 7. Special Snap improved with the blinkers going on as she raced much closer and was just touched out late at Canterbury. Expect shell be up there once again and is one of the chances. 2. There You Are is a bit of a query coming up from Victoria. He was an odds-on favourite and had every chance sitting outside the leader and winner at Geelong last start. Firmer going might suit so has to be included.
How to play it: Rotator WIN; Trifecta 3/1,2,7/1,27. Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Race 2 – 1:25PM ATC MEMBER TOURS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
2. Excellent Proposal showed plenty of fight up on pace and held them off for a game win on debut at 1200m. If the heavy track run hasnt flattened him he can take beating, drawn wide but the scratchings have already helped.
Dangers: 10. LCosmo is bursting to win a race and while runner-up in three maidens this time in this is not any stronger. Left it all a bit too late at Gosford last time and was run down after leading here prior to that. Must include. 9. Satin Socks won what has been a handy form race first-up at Kembla Grange and she will get all the favours from barrier one with the claim. 4. Academy is a half-brother to Smartedge on debut and he will relish 1200m first-up after running on strongly late in his trial over 798m. Drawn well and in blinkers, pay to keep him safe.
How to play it: Excellent Proposal E/W. Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Race 3 – 2.00PM CASINO PRINCE @ VINERY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
No speed here and 2. Watchdog has his chance to run out a strong mile with plenty of things in his favour. Had excuses at his last run at a mile and his two runs since have been honest. Drawn to be right behind the speed and has Hugh Bowman. Plenty to like.
Dangers: 6. Nacho Libre is another who will race on the pace and he chased home a handy type at Newcastle last start over the mile. Hes put a few consistent runs together and a firming track is a plus. Each-way. 7. Weekend Affair has a low percentage racing style and was again beaten in a close finish at Canterbury two weeks ago in a slowly run race. Will be running on and cant be left out of the chances. 8. Hes A Given backs up again after scoring on a heavy track here last week. Always races well this track but the drying surfaces takes away his edge and hes zero for 13 attempts at the mile.
How to play it: Watchdog WIN; Box Quinella 2,6,7. Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Race 4 – 2.35PM WINTER RACING HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
1. Front Sight is a promising horse and shook off the maiden tag with ease at Wyong second-up. Three city starts have all been nice efforts in strong maidens and from the inside he can control his own destiny. The one to beat.
Dangers: 6. Wimlah resumed with a tidy effort behind Haut Brion Her at Canterbury and if she can go up a notch from that shes in the mix. Another who will race handy and looks a contender. 7. Achondrite is an interesting runner. She resumes at a suitable trip but hasnt been seen at any official trials this time in. She was cut down by Mizzy on debut and was competitive with some nice three-year-olds before winning at Gosford. Watch betting. 2. Quick Finance was a beaten favourite at Hawkebsury last start but coming back to 1400m on a better surface will be in his favour. Hell race handy and could easily stay on for a placing.
How to play it: Front Sight WIN. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Race 5 – 3.10PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (2200 METRES)
13. Bedivere ran well at Canterbury second-up then endured a wide run and had no right to run second at Gosford a couple of weeks back. This is no harder, has a nice weight drop and Brenton Avdulla to ride. Should be in the finish.
Dangers: 4. Snippetspeed was the beneficiary of Bevideres wide run and he has to be considered a chance again as hell be afforded a similar run. Is 2kg worse off at the weights so that should even them up. Go well. 1. Kaapfever raced a lot handier than usual last start and was able to hang on over the Randwick 2400m. Coming back 200m on his home track are pluses and a better surface helps too. He should run well though is up 7kg. 5. Terwilliker is another who will appreciate a soft track and he wasnt disgraced in the Stayers Cup though clearly found 3200m on a heavy track a bit too much. No surprise to see him feature.
How to play it: Bedivere E/W. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.